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The social-economic developments in the economy of the RA for January-September 2024

In the present analysis, given the data published by the Statistical Committee of the RA, we study the recent social-economic developments in the economy of the RA. In particular, we consider the cumulative indicator of economic activity of the given month, its sectoral distribution, as well as the dynamics of individual sectors of the economy. We also analyze economic developments in the foreign trade, labour market and fiscal system of the RA. In addition, some aspects of the financial system (inflation, deposits and loans), as well as the behaviour of the exchange rate, are touched upon. Full material is only available in Armenian.

  


The change in the vector of Russia's energy policy and the competition between Tehran and Ankara in the issue of becoming a transit hub for Russian energy

After the start of the Russian-Ukrainian confrontation, most Western sanctions against Russia were primarily aimed at hitting the most important sector of the Russian economy - the energy sector. These events radically changed the structure and rules of the International Energy Market, which, in turn, forced Moscow to reconsider the priorities of its energy policy.

In this article, we tried to analyze the Iranian and Turkish directions of Russia's energy policy, considering changes in the vector of Russian energy exports since the beginning of the military conflict in Ukraine in 2022. We tried to understand Turkey's ambitions and opportunities to become an energy hub, as well as to assess Iran's new role in Russia's energy policy in modern conditions, considering it from the point of view of possible influence on the countries of the South Caucasus. Full material is only available in Armenian.

  


The social-economic developments in the economy of the RA for January-August 2024

In the present analysis, given the data published by the Statistical Committee of the RA, we study the recent social-economic developments in the economy of the RA. In particular, we consider the cumulative indicator of economic activity of the given month, its sectoral distribution, as well as the dynamics of individual sectors of the economy. We also analyze economic developments in the foreign trade, labour market and fiscal system of the RA. In addition, some aspects of the financial system (inflation, deposits and loans), as well as the behaviour of the exchange rate, are touched upon. Full material is only available in Armenian.

  


The social-economic developments in the economy of the RA for January-July 2024

In the present analysis, given the data published by the Statistical Committee of the RA, we study the recent social-economic developments in the economy of the RA. In particular, we consider the cumulative indicator of economic activity of the given month, its sectoral distribution, as well as the dynamics of individual sectors of the economy. We also analyze economic developments in the foreign trade, labour market and fiscal system of the RA. In addition, some aspects of the financial system (inflation, deposits and loans), as well as the behaviour of the exchange rate, are touched upon. Full material is only available in Armenian.

  


On the execution report of the state budget of the RA for the first half of 2024

The objective of the present analysis is to assess the execution of the state budget of the RA in the given period. First, we describe the general state of the economy of the RA, namely the driving forces of economic activity, the developments in individual sectors of the economy, the behavior of the components of the demand – consumption and investment – and so on. Afterwards, we analyze the performance of government revenues and expenditures by comparing the actual and planned values of the respective indicators. We conclude the analysis by summarizing the main observations and results. Full material is only available in Armenian․

  


The interests of the main players in the South Caucasus and the

In its recent publications, including those published by “Luys” Foundation, the Armenian Center for American Studies has regularly discussed and analyzed the competition and  interests of the main players in the South Caucasus: Russia, Turkey, the United States, and Iran. The latest developments in Georgia were the subject of separate observation as a vivid example of active competition between Russia and the USA. Recently, we referred to the active US policy in the South Caucasus in general, and in Armenia in particular.  
Taking into account the features of this competition and the unprecedented activity of international players in recent days, we present this article, which aims to understand the trajectory of developments, as well as the interests of the main players and their contradictions. Full material is only available in Armenian.

  


The social-economic developments in the economy of the RA for January-June 2024

In the present analysis, given the data published by the Statistical Committee of the RA, we study the recent social-economic developments in the economy of the RA. In particular, we consider the cumulative indicator of economic activity of the given month, its sectoral distribution, as well as the dynamics of individual sectors of the economy. We also analyze economic developments in the foreign trade, labour market and fiscal system of the RA. In addition, some aspects of the financial system (inflation, deposits and loans), as well as the behaviour of the exchange rate, are touched upon. Full material is only available in Armenian.

  


Medium-term public expenditure framework for 2025-2027

The primary document that defines the medium-term (that is, for the upcoming three years) objectives of the government of the RA is the framework of public medium-term expenditures (MTEF), which is at the same time one of the main tools for fiscal policy communication. The effective use of the MTEF for that purpose is especially important in both crisis and post-crisis periods, as it can give policy signals to economic agents, positively affect expectations and decrease the uncertainty in the economy. The present analysis is aimed at exploring the MTEF for 2025-2027, in particular the structure of the program, the main macroeconomic forecasts and directions of fiscal policy, which reflect the government's expectations regarding the further development of the economic situation as well as government actions to ensure a rapid economic recovery. Full material is only available in Armenian.

  


Luys Foundation Annual Report - 2023

During the reporting period, the Luys Foundation team carried out large-scale analytical-research work, covering a wide variety of topics.Our focus is on the current developments in law, economy, politics, international relations. During the year, our team published around 50 researches, in which not only the existing problems and challenges were analyzed, but also appropriate solutions were sought and suggested. Full material is only available in Armenian.

  


Energy Transition Index in the RA (2024)

The study of indicators and indices published by international organizations allows to address two important problems. First, to assess the performance of the RA in the given period with the help of comprehensive numerical measures, as well as to make intertemporal comparisons in order to understand whether the country moves in the desirable direction. Second, to compare the performance of the RA with other countries to ascertain Armenia’s relative position in the region and Eurasian Economic Union. These results are important, since they help to derive the comprehensive assessment of the economic situation, which is needed both for the public and the private sector. The present analysis is aimed at addressing the foregoing problems. Full material is only available in Armenian.

  


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